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PDP, ICE and ALE

Reference for partial-dependence-plot-builder · 67 lines

AI & Machine Learning / Classical Machine Learningv1.0.0Updated OCT 25 20263 references2 scripts

Definitions

For a feature S and the other features C:

  • ICE for row i: f(x_S = v, x_C = x_C^(i)) as v varies over the grid: one curve per row.
  • PDP: the average of the ICE curves, PD(v) = mean_i f(v, x_C^(i)). This is the marginal expectation: it pairs every grid value with every row's other features, including combinations that never occur.
  • Centred ICE (c-ICE): ICE_i(v) - ICE_i(v_0), so curves start at zero and their shapes are comparable.
  • ALE: accumulate the average local change in prediction across small intervals of x_S, using only the rows whose x_S falls in each interval:
text
for each quantile bin k = [z_{k-1}, z_k]:
    rows_k = rows with x_S in bin k
    effect_k = mean over rows_k of f(z_k, x_C) - f(z_{k-1}, x_C)
ALE(z_k) = sum_{j<=k} effect_j ; then subtract the data-weighted mean so the ALE is centred

Each row is only moved within its own neighbourhood, so ALE stays on realistic data when features are correlated. For an additive model ALE recovers each component exactly (the generated script recovers a linear coefficient to 1e-15).

scikit-learn

python
from sklearn.inspection import partial_dependence, PartialDependenceDisplay
X = X.astype({c: float for c in X.select_dtypes("integer").columns})       # required since 1.6
r = partial_dependence(model, X, ["tenure_months"], kind="both", grid_resolution=20,
                       percentiles=(0.05, 0.95), response_method="predict_proba")
r["average"], r["individual"], r["grid_values"]
PartialDependenceDisplay.from_estimator(model, X, ["tenure_months", ("tenure_months", "support_calls")],
                                        kind=["both", "average"], centered=True, subsample=300, random_state=0)
  • kind="both" gives ICE + PDP. centered=True centres them. subsample limits the number of ICE lines.
  • categorical_features=[...] gives a bar-style PDP per level.
  • For a two-way PDP, the function takes features=[a, b] (a joint grid); from_estimator takes a tuple (a, b).
  • method="recursion" is a fast exact PDP for sklearn gradient boosting and trees (average only, not ICE).
  • Multiclass: r["average"] has one row per class.

Two-way PDP and the H-statistic

A two-way PDP over (a, b) shows the joint effect. Friedman's H-statistic measures how much of it is not additive:

text
H^2_ab = sum (PD_ab(a,b) - PD_a(a) - PD_b(b))^2 / sum PD_ab(a,b)^2      (all centred)

H near 0 means no interaction and H near 1 means the effect is mostly interaction. It is expensive (a grid squared x rows). Screen candidate pairs with ICE separators or SHAP interaction values first.

ALE libraries

alibi.explainers.ALE, PyALE, dalex (model_profile(type="accumulated")), and R's ALEPlot/iml. The generated script implements first-order ALE for numeric features without extra dependencies.

Cost

MethodModel evaluations
PDP / ICErows x grid points (per feature)
Two-way PDProws x grid^2
ALE2 x rows (each row evaluated at its bin's two edges)
H-statisticrows x grid^2 per pair

Sample 300-1000 rows for ICE. More rows add lines, not insight.

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