"Which features matter?" has several right answers, and each importance method answers a different
question. Gain measures how much the model used a feature while fitting the training data.
Permutation importance measures how much held-out performance drops when the feature's information is
destroyed. Mean |SHAP| measures how much the feature moves predictions. They disagree for known reasons:
split bias, redundancy and leakage. Those disagreements are often the most useful part of the report.
scripts/gen_importance_script.py computes the methods on held-out data, and
scripts/compare_importances.py lines them up and explains the differences.
Trigger Conditions
Activate this skill when the user:
- Asks which features matter most, or wants a feature importance chart for a report
- Sees different rankings from gain, permutation, SHAP or coefficients
- Wants to drop features and asks which are safe to remove
- Finds a surprising feature at the top (an ID, a timestamp, a post-outcome field)
Per-prediction explanations and directions: shap-value-explainer. Stability
of rankings across folds and seeds: feature-selection-analyzer
(importance_stability.py). Shapes of effects: partial-dependence-plot-builder.
Workflow
1. HOLD OUT -> importance is computed on rows the model did not train on (test split or out-of-fold)
2. GENERATE -> python scripts/gen_importance_script.py --model model.joblib --data holdout.csv --target y --shap -o imp.py
3. COMPUTE -> python imp.py (importances.csv + groups.csv)
4. COMPARE -> python scripts/compare_importances.py importances.csv --groups groups.csv
5. RESOLVE -> investigate each flag: leakage, IDs, correlated groups, split bias
6. REPORT -> one headline method, the others as checks, groups and caveatsWhat Each Method Measures
| Method | Question it answers | Data | Biases |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gain / split (impurity, MDI) | how much did the model use it while fitting? | training | favours continuous and high-cardinality features; inflates noise features the model overfits |
| |Standardised coefficient| | how strongly does the linear predictor depend on it? | training | meaningless without scaling; unstable under collinearity |
| Permutation (held-out) | how much does performance drop without its information? | held-out | correlated features hide each other; can be negative (noise) |
| Grouped permutation | how much does a correlated group matter together? | held-out | groups must be chosen (correlation threshold) |
| Drop-column | how much worse is a model retrained without it? | held-out, refits | expensive; also hides correlated features |
| Mean |SHAP| | how much does it move predictions? | any | measures use, not usefulness; correlated features share credit |
Headline recommendation: held-out permutation importance with its spread across repeats, grouped for correlated features. Use SHAP for direction and per-row detail, and impurity importance only as a quick first look. Formulas, settings and code: importance-methods.md.
Reading Disagreements
| Flag | Pattern | Usual cause | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMPURITY-ONLY | high gain, little permutation | split bias or redundancy | trust permutation; check correlated partner |
| SHAP-VS-PERM | high SHAP, little permutation | a correlated feature carries the same information | group the pair |
| NO-EFFECT | permutation within 2 std of 0 | no generalisable signal | candidate to drop; refit and compare |
| ID-LIKE | identifier/hash/timestamp name | memorisation or leakage | remove from features |
| DOMINANT | > 50% of held-out importance | leakage, or a genuinely decisive feature | run target-leakage-detector |
| SHARED-INFO | joint permutation > 1.3 x the sum of single ones | overlapping information | report the group |
Worked examples and how to tell redundancy from split bias: interpreting-disagreements.md.
Reporting Rules
- Compute importance on held-out data, with the metric the project optimises.
- Show uncertainty: permutation std over repeats, or ranges across folds. Do not rank features whose intervals overlap as if the order were meaningful.
- Group one-hot levels into their input feature, and correlated features into named groups.
- Say what the numbers mean in units ("shuffling tenure lowers AUC by 0.08"), not only as percentages.
- Importance is not causation, and a low importance does not prove a feature is useless. The model may get the same information from a correlated feature.
- Name the model, the data, the date and the method in every chart title.
Chart templates and wording: reporting-importance.md.
Output Format
When reporting feature importance, deliver:
- Setup - model, held-out data (rows, period), metric, methods, repeats, grouping threshold.
- Headline ranking - permutation importance with std (grouped), in metric units.
- Cross-check table - every method's share and rank, with method agreement.
- Flags resolved - each flag with the investigation result (dropped, grouped, kept with reason).
- Caveats - correlated groups, non-causal reading, data coverage.
Scripts
python scripts/gen_importance_script.py --model model.joblib --data holdout.csv --target churned -o importance.py
python scripts/gen_importance_script.py --model pipe.joblib --data test.csv --target price --scoring neg_root_mean_squared_error
python scripts/gen_importance_script.py --model m.joblib --data test.csv --target y --shap --repeats 20 --corr 0.8The generated script loads a fitted model or Pipeline and held-out data, reorders the columns to the training
order, and computes model-based importance (gain, or coef_x_std for linear models), permutation
importance (mean and std over --repeats), grouped permutation for clusters of correlated numeric features
(|Spearman| >= --corr) and, with --shap, mean |SHAP|. Encoded columns are summed back to input columns.
Verified for LightGBM, XGBoost, random forest and logistic-regression Pipelines and for CatBoost. Exit
codes: 0 written, 2 usage error.
python scripts/compare_importances.py importances.csv
python scripts/compare_importances.py importances.csv --groups groups.csv --jsonShares, ranks, consensus rank, method agreement (Spearman) and the flags above. Recognises method kinds
from the column names and uses <method>_std columns. Exit codes: 0 compared, 1 a DOMINANT or ID-LIKE flag,
2 usage or read error.
Additional Resources
| File | Content |
|---|---|
| importance-methods.md | definitions, settings and code for each method, per library |
| interpreting-disagreements.md | split bias, redundancy, leakage, negative importances, worked examples |
| reporting-importance.md | charts, uncertainty, grouping, wording, checklist |
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